Roulette Calculator Online
100,000 roulette spins?
if success rate is 32.43% how many times will a losing streak of 14 or more occur if wheel spinned 100,000 times?
Any pointers to online probability calculators appreciated too.
The probability of doing this once was answered by someone else, 67.57% to the 14th power, or approximately 0.4136%. Since the streak can be 14 or more (and not exactly 14), the streak can only start at the beginning (with spin 1), or following a win. It also cannot start after spin 99,987, because there will not be enough spins remaining to lose 14 times in a row.
It is always possible to begin the streak on spin 1. For spins 2 through 99,987, there is a 32.43% probability that the prior spin was a win and we can start checking for a new losing streak. The expected number of losing streaks is the probability of getting a losing streak, multiplied by the number of spins where you have the possibility of beginning a losing streak. This is:
(0.6757^14) x (1 + 99986 x 0.3243) =
0.0041357556 x 32426.4598 = 134.1079
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